Daily Pulse - 2026-03-30

╔══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╗ ║ 🗞️ DAILY PULSE — Monday, Mar 30, 2026 (America/New_York) ║ ║ ID: DP-2026-03-30 | Regime: Geopolitical Risk & Stagflationary Fear ║ ╚══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╝

🧾 Retro — Calls Expiring Today Daily Pulse Calls

  • DP-2026-03-25-T01 [equities / SPY]: UNRESOLVED — SPY 2026-03-30 range=1.755% th=6000.000% (H=640.37 L=629.28 C=631.97) Next time: keep the evaluation rule tied to instruments and data sources with reliable coverage.
  • DP-2026-03-28-T01 [equities / SPY/QQQ]: UNRESOLVED — SPY/QQQ OHLC unavailable for range scoring. lookup[raw=SPY/QQQ effective=SPY/QQQ storage=SPY/QQQ cacheKeys=[SPY/QQQ] stooq=null yahoo=null providers=CoinGeckoProvider>CboeVixProvider>YahooFinanceProvider>StooqProvider status=UNSUPPORTED_INSTRUMENT detail=CoinGecko:UNSUPPORTED_INSTRUMENT(no CoinGecko asset mapping)|CBOE:VIX:UNSUPPORTED_INSTRUMENT(provider only supports VIX/^VIX)|YahooFinance:UNSUPPORTED_INSTRUMENT(no Yahoo ticker mapping)|Stooq:UNSUPPORTED_INSTRUMENT(no Stooq ticker mapping)] Next time: keep the evaluation rule tied to instruments and data sources with reliable coverage.

Assets of High Interest No AHI worldview snapshots persisted yet.

Contributor Performance Recent Top Performers (90d)

  • No persisted leaderboard snapshot yet. All-Time Top Performers
  • No persisted leaderboard snapshot yet. Hot Movers
  • No persisted leaderboard snapshot yet.
  1. Trading Pulse — Tactical
  • S&P 500 (SPX) Bounce
    • [Horizon: 1-5d | Signal Grade: B]
    • CALL: BULLISH (Tactical Bounce)
    • Why it matters: The market is deeply oversold (RSI/MACD) and sentiment is at extreme fear (9.6/100), setting the stage for a reflexive short-covering rally.
    • Triggers: Sustained move above 6,130; VIX reversal below 20.
    • Invalidation: Close below 6,000; further escalation in Iran conflict.
  1. Portfolio / Thesis Pulse — Weeks to Months
  • Energy & Commodities (Oil/Uranium)
    • [Horizon: 4-12w | Signal Grade: A]
    • CALL: BULLISH
    • Why it matters: Geopolitical conflict in the Strait of Hormuz and structural supply deficits are creating a "war premium" that central banks cannot suppress via rate policy.
    • Triggers: Brent crude holding above $115; further infrastructure disruptions in the Middle East.
    • Invalidation: Diplomatic ceasefire; significant drop in global energy demand.
  1. Crypto / Ethereum Add-On
  • Bitcoin (BTC) & Crypto Equities
    • [Horizon: 1-3m | Signal Grade: B]
    • CALL: RELATIVE (BTC vs. Crypto Stocks)
    • Why it matters: Crypto stocks (COIN, HOOD) are down ~60% and represent a "buy the dip" opportunity for long-term holders, while BTC remains trapped in a $65k-$75k range due to macro/geopolitical headwinds.
    • Triggers: BTC breakout above $71k; Q1 earnings showing resilience in stablecoin/derivative revenue.
    • Invalidation: BTC breakdown below $65k support; further regulatory enforcement.
  1. Signal Radar
  • Bond Yields (10Y Treasury)
    • [Horizon: 1-3m | Signal Grade: B]
    • CALL: VOLATILITY UP / YIELDS UP
    • Why it matters: Inflationary pressures from energy shocks and weak Treasury demand are forcing a repricing of the "higher for longer" narrative.
    • Triggers: 10Y yield breaking above recent highs; persistent inflation data.
    • Invalidation: Deflationary shock or recessionary data forcing a Fed pivot.
  1. Watchlist & Alerts
  • Watchlist:
    • NuScale Power (SMR): Bullish setup on dual trendline hit.
    • Microsoft (MSFT): Oversold technical bounce target 384-412.
    • Oracle (ORCL): Short entry at 149.23 if market pushes higher.
  • Alerts:
    • Monitor Iran/US diplomatic headlines; any "ceasefire" news is a primary catalyst for a market-wide trend shift.

⏹ END — DP-2026-03-30 ════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════

Published for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.