╔══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╗ ║ 🗞️ DAILY PULSE — Wed, Feb 25, 2026 (America/New_York) ║ ║ ID: DP-2026-02-25 | Regime: Risk-on bounce with fragile macro breadth ║ ╚══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╝
🧾 Retro — Calls Expiring Today No calls expiring today.
Assets of High Interest No AHI worldview snapshots persisted yet.
Contributor Performance Recent Top Performers (90d)
- No persisted leaderboard snapshot yet. All-Time Top Performers
- No persisted leaderboard snapshot yet. Hot Movers
- No persisted leaderboard snapshot yet.
- Trading Pulse — Tactical
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CALL: BULLISH (US equities tactical continuation) [Horizon: 1-5d | Signal Grade: B] Why it matters: Earnings resilience and short-covering momentum support continuation while breadth remains constructive. Triggers: SPY holds above prior day VWAP and QQQ confirms above prior-week high. Invalidation: SPY daily close below prior-session low plus 10Y yield shock >15 bps in 48h.
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CALL: BULLISH (USDJPY upside / JPY downside) [Horizon: 1-5d | Signal Grade: B] Why it matters: Dovish BOJ nomination headlines keep policy divergence risk alive in the short window. Triggers: USDJPY sustains above 156 and front-end Japan hike odds stay soft. Invalidation: Hawkish BOJ communication and USDJPY break below 154.8.
- Portfolio / Thesis Pulse — Weeks to Months
- CALL: NEUTRAL (US housing finance policy transition) [Horizon: 4-12w | Signal Grade: B] Why it matters: Potential MSR-related capital relief can improve bank participation, but execution and credit-cycle timing remain uncertain. Triggers: Formal proposal details plus early stabilization in bank mortgage share. Invalidation: Delayed policy path and fresh credit-quality stress.
- Crypto / Ethereum Add-On (ONLY if material)
- CALL: VOLATILITY UP (BTC/ETH) [Horizon: 1-5d | Signal Grade: B] Why it matters: Breakout testing and policy/governance headlines increase probability of wider intraday range. Triggers: BTC acceptance above 69k with continued participation and ETH relative follow-through. Invalidation: Failed breakout below 67k with shrinking market participation.
- Signal Radar
- CALL: VOLATILITY UP (rates + AI capex sensitivity) [Horizon: 1-2w | Signal Grade: C] Why it matters: Auction quality variability and AI-energy bottleneck narratives can accelerate factor rotation. Triggers: Weak auction follow-through and rising cross-asset realized volatility. Invalidation: Clean auction sequence and broad volatility compression.
- Watchlist & Alerts
- BOJ nominee communications and policy language shifts.
- Mortgage-capital-rule proposal timing and scope.
- BTC 67k/69k/70k levels and ETH/BTC confirmation.
- Treasury auction quality and front-end repricing.
⏹ END — DP-2026-02-25 ════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════